A diplomatic reset wrapped in contradiction

A diplomatic reset wrapped in contradiction

The Yunus-Modi meeting in Bangkok appears to be the long-awaited diplomatic reset that many had predicted—but few expected to materialise so soon. On the surface, it looks like India is finally acknowledging the interim government in Dhaka. But beneath the handshake seemingly lies a tangle of contradictions, strategic hedging, and diplomacy. Its not just about turning a new page—its about writing the next chapter.
From denial to dialogue For nearly eight months, Indias relationship with Bangladesh has remained awkward, intermittently broken by a handful of uplifting moments when officials met and discussed bilateral issues. This meeting, therefore, signals more than engagement. Its an implicit admission that reality has outpaced Indias assumptions. Yet, Modis words seem to carry an almost performative tone—he talked about democracy and inclusion after years of openly backing elections in Bangladesh that were anything but democratic. His government supported Hasina through the 2014 walkover, the 2018 ballot-stuffing, and the 2024 puppet show of a vote. So, when Indian officials say they support a "democratic and inclusive Bangladesh," one cannot help but ask: since when?
The people vs the party Modi claims India is connected to the people of Bangladesh—not to any political party. Its a noble sentiment, but history arguably tells a different story. Indias deep-rooted ties with the Awami League were not merely diplomatic—some may say they were ideological, strategic, and personal. Delhi has in the past prioritised regime stability over popular legitimacy. So, is this newfound detachment real, or just rhetorical repositioning now that the old guard has fallen? Perhaps Modis statement is less about people and more about giving India room to pivot—to distance itself from Hasina without appearing disloyal, and to engage with Yunus without committing too deeply.
Shelter as strategy Yunuss call for Hasinas extradition was bold, necessary, and symbolic. It marked a shift from transitional governance to assertive leadership. But Indias non-committal response—labelling the request as "under consideration"—could suggest that Hasina is now less a guest and more a bargaining chip. By sheltering her, India retains leverage over the interim government. Its a contradictory position—India claims to support peace and stability in Bangladesh, yet it harbours a figure accused of inciting unrest. If Yunus is serious about moving forward, he will have to navigate this situation delicately.
Security concerns and political theatre The discussion on minority rights and social unrest is another minefield of double meanings. India expressed "serious concern" about the treatment of Hindus in Bangladesh—likely as much for domestic political optics as for genuine worry. Yunus, meanwhile, dismissed many of the claims as exaggerated or false, pushing back on Indias moral posturing. Here again, Indias selective outrage feels somewhat hollow. It had no such concerns under Hasina, even when systemic violence and suppression were rife. The sudden spotlight on minority rights raises the question: is this about human rights or political messaging?
Border killings and hollow empathy Yunus made a heartfelt appeal to stop border killings, invoking the suffering of families torn apart. Modi responded with the usual line—Indian forces fire in self-defence. Yet, hundreds of civilians have died in these so-called "self-defence" incidents over the years, often unarmed and within Bangladeshi territory. This isnt just a bilateral security issue—its about trust. If India continues to act unilaterally on its border while preaching partnership, the credibility of its cooperative rhetoric falls apart.
The real game behind the optics So, what does this meeting really represent? For me, its not as much of a breakthrough. Its a calibration. India is adjusting to—not embracing—the new Bangladesh. This is not about Yunus earning Indias trust its about India hedging its bets. Delhi wants to remain relevant, especially as Dhakas ties with China deepen and with Pakistan open. India is not fully on board with the interim government yet. But it is experienced enough to realise that ignoring it any longer could cost regional influence. The meeting, therefore, is less about conviction and more about pragmatism.